Our analysts break down every game with sharp analysis, line value assessment, and confidence ratings.
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SEASON RECORD
—%
WIN RATE ATS
12
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Our Pick
Under 144.5
Odds
-110
Confidence
UConn has gone Under in 4 of 5 tournament games. Their defense held Illinois — the nation's top offense — to 62 points Saturday. The total has been bet up from 142.5 to 144.5 on public money backing Michigan's offense. Sharp money is on the Under. Even if Michigan scores 78, UConn likely stays in the 60s-low 70s. Best bet on the board.
Our Pick
Lakers -6.5
Odds
-110
Confidence
Los Angeles is 13-2 SU in their last 15 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Dallas. The Mavericks are 1-4 in their last 5 and 16-22 on the road this season. LeBron and Anthony Davis are both healthy and motivated to lock up seeding. Dallas simply doesn't have the firepower to keep this close.
Our Pick
Rockets -3.5
Odds
-110
Confidence
Houston is fighting for playoff seeding and playing with urgency. Golden State has been inconsistent on the road and their defense has been leaky. The Rockets are 7-3 at home in their last 10 and their young core is peaking at the right time. This line feels a half-point light.
Our Pick
Timberwolves -1.5
Odds
-110
Confidence
Minnesota needs this win to hold their playoff seeding. Charlotte has nothing to play for and has been resting veterans. Anthony Edwards is averaging 31+ PPG in April and the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Getting Minnesota at just -1.5 at home is a gift.
Our Pick
Guardians ML
Odds
+102
Confidence
Cleveland sends a quality starter and the Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. The Cubs' offense has been inconsistent early in the season. Getting Cleveland at plus money at home with a strong pitching matchup is genuine value — this line should be -115 at minimum.
Our Pick
Red Sox -150
Odds
-150
Confidence
Boston sends their ace at home against a Padres lineup that has been cold. The Red Sox are 6-1 at home in their last 7 and their bullpen ERA (2.89 last 2 weeks) is elite. San Diego is 2-8 on the road this season. This is a strong play even at the price.
Our Pick
Dodgers ML
Odds
-220
Confidence
Los Angeles is the class of the NL and Washington is one of the worst teams in baseball. The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games and their rotation is fully healthy. At -220, this is best used as a parlay leg — the Dodgers are essentially a lock at home against this opponent.
Our Pick
Yankees -275
Odds
-275
Confidence
New York is dominant at home and Miami is 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The Yankees' lineup is one of the deepest in baseball and their starter has a 2.10 ERA in April. Use this as a parlay leg — at 98% public backing, the sharp play is still the Yankees given the talent disparity.
Our Pick
Hurricanes ML
Odds
-145
Confidence
Carolina is one of the best defensive teams in the NHL and is locked in for the playoffs. Ottawa has been inconsistent at home and their goaltending has been shaky. The Hurricanes are 7-2-1 in their last 10 road games and their penalty kill (88%) is elite. Strong play at this price.
Our Pick
Capitals +1.5
Odds
-130
Confidence
Washington is fighting for a playoff spot and Alex Ovechkin is playing at an elite level. The Rangers are at home but have been inconsistent in close games. Taking the Capitals puck line at -130 gives you insurance — even if Washington loses in regulation, a one-goal game cashes. The Caps have kept 7 of their last 10 within one goal.
Our Pick
Under 6.5
Odds
-115
Confidence
Both goalies have been sharp this week and neither offense has been clicking at full capacity. The weather in the Northeast is cold and both teams have been playing conservative, defensive hockey. Unders are 6-2 in Flyers games over the last two weeks. This total feels a half-point high.
Our Pick
UConn +7.5
Odds
-115
Confidence
Dan Hurley's teams cover spreads in big games. UConn is 3-1 ATS as underdogs in this tournament and 5-1 SU against Big Ten schools under Hurley. Michigan's Lendeborg (MCL/ankle) is a game-time decision. If he's limited, this line is at least 2.5 points too high. Getting 7.5 with the Huskies is a live underdog play.
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